Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - US Open 2025
Last updated: Sep 7, 2025, 6:22PM | Published: Sep 6, 2025, 4:53AM
Jannik Sinner will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Monday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Sinner vs Alcaraz match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Sinner-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Sinner a 55% chance of winning against Alcaraz in the US Open Men's Singles 2025.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's US Open 2025 match between Sinner and Alcaraz are shown here:
- Head to Head: Sinner $1.75, Alcaraz $2.15
- First Set: Sinner $1.80, Alcaraz $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Sinner at $1.75 and Alcaraz at $2.15.
TAB currently has odds for Sinner to win the first set at $1.80 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $2.00.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Alcaraz at $2.15 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.83 with TAB (58% probability)
These Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Sinner is more likely to win the match, taking Alcaraz to win is our preferred option because of the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable over the long run.
And while Sinner is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Alcaraz ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the US Open 2025 tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Sinner-Alcaraz match in the US Open Men's Singles 2025.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: US Open 2025 Essential Details
The US Open 2025 match between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence at 4:30am AEST.
- Match: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Monday 8 September 2025
- Approx. Time: 4:30am AEST
- Event: US Open Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Final
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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