Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2025
Last updated: May 18, 2025, 3:30PM | Published: May 18, 2025, 5:22AM
Jannik Sinner will sqaure off with Carlos Alcaraz in the final at the 2025 ATP Italian Open tournament on Monday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Sinner vs Alcaraz match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Sinner-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives Sinner a 51% chance of defeating Alcaraz at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's ATP Italian Open match between Sinner and Alcaraz are shown below:
- Head to Head: Sinner $1.66, Alcaraz $2.20
- First Set: Sinner $1.72, Alcaraz $2.10
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Sinner at $1.66 and Alcaraz at $2.20.
TAB currently has odds for Sinner to win the first set at $1.72 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $2.10.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Alcaraz at $2.20 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.83 with TAB (51% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Sinner is more likely to win the match, taking Alcaraz to win is our preferred option because of the 5.8% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while Sinner is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Alcaraz ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Sinner-Alcaraz match at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Sinner vs Alcaraz: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Italian Open match between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin at 1:00am AEST.
- Match: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Monday 19 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 1:00am AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Final
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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