Jaguars vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2026
Last updated: Sep 27, 2026, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 20, 2026, 4:01AM
The Jacksonville Jaguars will face the New England Patriots in NFL Week 3 action at EverBank Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Jaguars vs Patriots game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Jacksonville vs New England NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Jaguars a 61% chance of defeating the Patriots at EverBank Stadium.
Jaguars vs Patriots: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at EverBank Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Jaguars $1.62, Patriots $2.35
- Line: Jaguars -2.5 ($1.91), Patriots +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Jaguars at $1.62 and the Patriots at $2.35.
The Jaguars are 2.5-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Patriots (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Jaguars (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Jaguars vs Patriots: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Jacksonville at $1.62 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Jaguars vs Patriots betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Jaguars vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Jaguars vs Patriots at EverBank Stadium in Week 3 is the Jaguars winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Jacksonville vs New England game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Jaguars vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs Patriots? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Jacksonville's Bhayshul Tuten is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs Patriots.
Tuten has a 9.1% chance of scoring the first TD at EverBank Stadium, while the Jaguars RB has a 39.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Bhayshul Tuten: 9.1% probability
- Parker Washington: 7.7% probability
- Chris Rodriguez: 5.1% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 5.0% probability
- Brenton Strange: 4.7% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 8.4% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 7.8% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.3% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.4% probability
- Romeo Doubs: 4.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Bhayshul Tuten: 39.1% probability
- Parker Washington: 34.5% probability
- Chris Rodriguez: 24.1% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 23.9% probability
- Brenton Strange: 22.5% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 37.4% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 35.1% probability
- Hunter Henry: 25.5% probability
- Drake Maye: 21.9% probability
- Romeo Doubs: 21.5% probability
Jaguars-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 237 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 227 yards.
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 237 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 227 projected passing yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Bhayshul Tuten: 56 projected yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 23 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 21 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 46 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 30 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Parker Washington: 72 projected yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 41 projected yards
- Brian Thomas: 40 projected yards
- Brenton Strange: 34 projected yards
- Bhayshul Tuten: 13 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Romeo Doubs: 47 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 44 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 40 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 35 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 19 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Jacksonville vs New England match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Jaguars vs Patriots: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Jaguars and Patriots at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 28 September 2026
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Jacksonville vs New England predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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