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Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025

Jack Draper will sqaure off with Tommy Paul in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Thursday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Draper vs Paul match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Draper-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Draper a 54% chance of winning against Paul at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Draper vs Paul: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Madrid Open match between Draper and Paul are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Draper $1.57, Paul $2.37
  • First Set: Draper $1.61, Paul $2.30

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Draper at $1.57 and Paul at $2.37.

TAB currently has odds for Draper to win the first set at $1.61 and odds for Paul to win the first set at $2.30.

Draper vs Paul: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Paul at $2.37 with TAB
  • First Set: Paul at $1.80 with TAB (52% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.

These Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Draper is more likely to win the match, taking Paul to win is our preferred option due to the 6.6% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.

Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.

And while Draper is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Paul ($1.80) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Draper vs Paul: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Draper-Paul match at the ATP Madrid Open event.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Draper vs Paul: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Jack Draper and Tommy Paul is scheduled to begin at 12:00am AEST.

  • Match: Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul
  • Date: Thursday 1 May 2025
  • Approx. Time: 12:00am AEST
  • Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on Tennis

Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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