Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: Apr 29, 2025, 10:04PM | Published: Apr 29, 2025, 6:04PM
Jack Draper will take on Tommy Paul in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Draper vs Paul match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Draper-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Draper a 54% chance of defeating Paul at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Draper vs Paul: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Madrid Open match between Draper and Paul are shown below:
- Head to Head: Draper $1.57, Paul $2.37
- First Set: Draper $1.61, Paul $2.30
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Draper at $1.57 and Paul at $2.37.
TAB currently has odds for Draper to win the first set at $1.61 and odds for Paul to win the first set at $2.30.
Draper vs Paul: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Paul at $2.37 with TAB
- First Set: Paul at $1.80 with TAB (52% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
These Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Draper is more likely to win the match, taking Paul to win is the best option because of the 6.6% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.
And while Draper is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Paul ($1.80) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Draper vs Paul: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Draper-Paul match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Draper vs Paul: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Jack Draper and Tommy Paul is scheduled to start at 12:00am AEST.
- Match: Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul
- Date: Thursday 1 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 12:00am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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