Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: May 1, 2025, 3:03PM | Published: Apr 30, 2025, 8:03PM
Jack Draper will sqaure off with Matteo Arnaldi in the quarter-finals at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Draper vs Arnaldi match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Draper-Arnaldi men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Draper a 64% chance of defeating Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Draper vs Arnaldi: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Madrid Open match between Draper and Arnaldi are listed here:
- Head to Head: Draper $1.30, Arnaldi $3.50
- First Set: Draper $1.40, Arnaldi $3.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Draper at $1.30 and Arnaldi at $3.50.
TAB currently has odds for Draper to win the first set at $1.40 and odds for Arnaldi to win the first set at $3.00.
Draper vs Arnaldi: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Arnaldi at $3.50 with TAB
- First Set: Arnaldi at $1.80 with TAB (51% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Our Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Draper is more likely to win the match, betting on Arnaldi to win is our preferred option because of the 8.6% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable over the long run.
And while Draper is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Arnaldi ($1.80) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Draper vs Arnaldi: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Draper-Arnaldi match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Draper vs Arnaldi: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Jack Draper and Matteo Arnaldi is scheduled to commence at 1:15am AEST.
- Match: Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi
- Date: Friday 2 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 1:15am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Quarter-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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