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Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - ATP Indian Wells Open 2025

Jack Draper will sqaure off with Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Indian Wells Open tournament on Sunday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Draper vs Alcaraz match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Draper-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz a 65% chance of defeating Draper at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

Draper vs Alcaraz: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Indian Wells Open match between Draper and Alcaraz are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Draper $3.40, Alcaraz $1.33
  • First Set: Draper $3.00, Alcaraz $1.40

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Draper at $3.40 and Alcaraz at $1.33.

TAB currently has odds for Draper to win the first set at $3.00 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.40.

Draper vs Alcaraz: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Draper at $3.40 with TAB
  • First Set: Alcaraz at $1.90 with TAB (52% probability)

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.

These Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Draper to win is our preferred option due to the 6.9% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.

And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Alcaraz ($1.90) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Draper vs Alcaraz: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Draper-Alcaraz match at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Draper vs Alcaraz: ATP Indian Wells Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Indian Wells Open match between Jack Draper and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence at 9:20am AEDT.

  • Match: Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz
  • Date: Sunday 16 March 2025
  • Approx. Time: 9:20am AEDT
  • Event: ATP Indian Wells, USA Men's Singles
  • Round: Semi-finals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on Tennis

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis match, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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