Heat vs Warriors Prediction and NBA Tips - 20 November 2025
Last updated: Nov 20, 2025, 12:40AM | Published: Nov 19, 2025, 2:00PM
The Miami Heat will face the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Thursday, beginning at 11:30am AEDT.
With star players Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez, the Heat are aiming to beat a Warriors side that includes Moses Moody, Will Richard and Brandin Podziemski.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Heat vs Warriors game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Miami vs Golden State NBA game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Heat a 78% chance of defeating the Warriors at Kaseya Center.
Heat vs Warriors: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Heat $1.24, Warriors $4.25
- Line: Heat -10.5 ($1.91), Warriors +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 234.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $1.24 and the Warriors at $4.25.
The Heat are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Warriors (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 234.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 234.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Heat vs Warriors: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Golden State at $4.25 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 234.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Heat vs Warriors betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Heat have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Heat vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Warriors at Kaseya Center this Thursday is the Heat winning 121-112.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs Golden State game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Warriors prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Golden State match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Heat vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Heat and Warriors at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 11:30am AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors
- Date: Thursday 20 November 2025
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Golden State predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.
