Heat vs Rockets Prediction and NBA Tips - 1 March 2026

The Miami Heat will face the Houston Rockets in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Sunday, beginning at 7:30am AEDT.

Led by the likes of Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins, the Heat are looking to overcome a Rockets team that includes Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Heat vs Rockets game, as well as the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Miami vs Houston NBA game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Rockets a 59% chance of winning against the Heat at Kaseya Center.

Heat vs Rockets: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed below:

• Head to Head: Heat $2.20, Rockets $1.71
• Line: Heat +2.5 ($1.91), Rockets -2.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 225.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $2.20 and the Rockets at $1.71.

The Heat are 2.5-point underdogs against the Rockets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Rockets (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 225.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Rockets (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 225.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Heat vs Rockets: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Houston at $1.71 with Bet365
• Line: Rockets -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 225.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Heat vs Rockets best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.

Heat vs Rockets: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Rockets at Kaseya Center this Sunday is the Rockets winning 114-111.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs Houston game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Rockets prediction, put together by experts in the US.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Houston match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Heat vs Rockets: Essential Details

The NBA match-up between the Heat and Rockets at Kaseya Center is scheduled to tip off at 7:30am AEDT on Sunday.

• Teams: Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets
• Date: Sunday 1 March 2026
• Time: 7:30am AEDT
• Venue: Kaseya Center

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Miami vs Houston predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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