Heat vs Pelicans Prediction and NBA Tips - 5 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 4, 2026, 11:09PM | Published: Jan 4, 2026, 1:01PM
The Miami Heat will take on the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Monday, starting at 10:00am AEDT.
Led by the likes of Norman Powell, Tyler Herro and Andrew Wiggins, the Heat are up against a Pelicans side that includes Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Jordan Poole.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Heat vs Pelicans game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami vs New Orleans NBA game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Heat a 72% chance of winning against the Pelicans at Kaseya Center.
Heat vs Pelicans: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Heat $1.33, Pelicans $3.45
- Line: Heat -8 ($1.95), Pelicans +8 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 247.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $1.33 and the Pelicans at $3.45.
The Heat are listed as 8-point favourites against the Pelicans, with odds of $1.95 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Pelicans (+8) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.87.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 247.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pelicans (+8) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 247.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Heat vs Pelicans: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Pelicans +8 at $1.87 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 247.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Heat vs Pelicans best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Heat vs Pelicans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Pelicans at Kaseya Center on Monday is the Heat winning 125-118.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs New Orleans game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Pelicans prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Miami vs New Orleans game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Heat vs Pelicans: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Heat and Pelicans at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 10:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Monday 5 January 2026
- Time: 10:00am AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs New Orleans predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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