Heat vs Pacers Prediction and NBA Tips - 28 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 28, 2025, 1:06AM | Published: Dec 27, 2025, 3:06PM
The Miami Heat will sqaure off with the Indiana Pacers in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Sunday, starting at 12:00pm AEDT.
With the likes of Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez and Andrew Wiggins, the Heat are aiming to beat a Pacers side that includes Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Heat vs Pacers game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Miami vs Indiana NBA game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Heat a 70% chance of winning against the Pacers at Kaseya Center.
Heat vs Pacers: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Heat $1.37, Pacers $3.20
- Line: Heat -6.5 ($1.91), Pacers +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 233.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $1.37 and the Pacers at $3.20.
The Heat are listed as 6.5-point favourites against the Pacers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Pacers (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 233.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pacers (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 233.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Heat vs Pacers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Indiana at $3.20 with Bet365
- Line: Pacers +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 233.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Heat vs Pacers betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Heat have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pacers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Heat vs Pacers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Pacers at Kaseya Center this Sunday is the Heat winning 119-113.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs Indiana game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Pacers prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Indiana game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Heat vs Pacers: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Heat and Pacers at Kaseya Center is scheduled to commence at 12:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers
- Date: Sunday 28 December 2025
- Time: 12:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Indiana predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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