Heat vs Pacers Prediction and NBA Tips - 28 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 27, 2025, 10:00PM | Published: Dec 27, 2025, 3:06PM
The Miami Heat will take on the Indiana Pacers in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Sunday, commencing at 12:00pm AEDT.
With star players Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez and Andrew Wiggins, the Heat are up against a Pacers team that includes Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Heat vs Pacers game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Miami vs Indiana NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Heat a 71% chance of beating the Pacers at Kaseya Center.
Heat vs Pacers: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Heat $1.37, Pacers $3.20
- Line: Heat -6.5 ($1.87), Pacers +6.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 229 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $1.37 and the Pacers at $3.20.
The Heat are 6.5-point favourites against the Pacers, with odds of $1.87 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Pacers (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.95.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 229 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pacers (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 229-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Heat vs Pacers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Indiana at $3.20 with Bet365
- Line: Pacers +6.5 at $1.95 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 229 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Heat vs Pacers predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Heat have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pacers to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Heat vs Pacers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Pacers at Kaseya Center this Sunday is the Heat winning 117-111.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs Indiana game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Pacers prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Indiana game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Heat vs Pacers: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Heat and Pacers at Kaseya Center is scheduled to tip off at 12:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers
- Date: Sunday 28 December 2025
- Time: 12:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Indiana predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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