Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction and NBA Tips - 22 February 2026
Last updated: Feb 22, 2026, 1:09AM | Published: Feb 21, 2026, 3:06PM
The Miami Heat will face the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Sunday, beginning at 12:00pm AEDT.
Led by the likes of Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro, the Heat are looking to overcome a Grizzlies side that includes Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper and Jaylen Wells.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Heat vs Grizzlies game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Miami vs Memphis NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Heat an 82% chance of defeating the Grizzlies at Kaseya Center.
Heat vs Grizzlies: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Heat $1.18, Grizzlies $5.00
- Line: Heat -11.5 ($1.91), Grizzlies +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 238.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $1.18 and the Grizzlies at $5.00.
The Heat are listed as 11.5-point favourites against the Grizzlies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Grizzlies (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 238.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Grizzlies (+11.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 238.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Heat vs Grizzlies: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Memphis at $5.00 with Bet365
- Line: Grizzlies +11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 238.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Heat vs Grizzlies betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Heat have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Grizzlies to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Heat vs Grizzlies: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Grizzlies at Kaseya Center on Sunday is the Heat winning 123-113.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs Memphis game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Grizzlies prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Memphis match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Heat vs Grizzlies: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Heat and Grizzlies at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 12:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Sunday 22 February 2026
- Time: 12:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Memphis predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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