Heat vs Celtics Prediction and NBA Tips - 26 January 2024
Last updated: Jan 26, 2024, 12:40AM | Published: Jan 24, 2024, 10:46PM
The Miami Heat will take on the favoured Boston Celtics in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Friday, starting at 11:30am AEDT.
Led by the likes of Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier and Bam Adebayo, the Heat are aiming to beat a Celtics side that includes Jayson Tatum, Kristaps Porzingis and Jaylen Brown.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Heat vs Celtics game, plus the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Heat vs Celtics
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Miami-Boston NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Celtics a 75% chance of defeating the Heat at Kaseya Center.
More: Heat vs Celtics Simulated 10,000 Times
Heat vs Celtics: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Heat $3.90, Celtics $1.33
- Line: Heat +8.5 ($1.95), Celtics -8.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 224.5 Points): Over $1.92, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Heat at $3.90 and the Celtics at $1.33.
The Heat are 8.5-point underdogs against the Celtics, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Celtics (-8.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Heat vs Celtics sits at 224.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.92 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Heat (+8.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 224.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Heat vs Celtics game is Betfair, where you are able to bet against other NBA fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Heat vs Celtics: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $3.90 with Betfair (0.7% edge)
- Line: Heat +8.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 224.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (52% probability)
While the Celtics have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Heat to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
What's better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NBA? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.
Join Betfair today to get even more out of Stats Insider's data.
Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.
Heat vs Celtics: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Celtics at Kaseya Center this Friday has the Celtics winning 115-108.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Miami vs Boston on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Heat vs Celtics: Player Props
Player props are an enjoyable way to bet on Heat vs Celtics without necessarily betting on the outcome of the game itself.
Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds and assists.
Jimmy Butler is expected to lead the way for the Heat with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jayson Tatum is projected to have 26 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists for the Celtics.
Heat Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 5 | 5 |
| Terry Rozier | 21 | 3 | 5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 20 | 9 | 5 |
| Tyler Herro | 19 | 6 | 4 |
| Caleb Martin | 11 | 5 | 2 |
Celtics Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 26 | 9 | 5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 23 | 7 | 3 |
| Jaylen Brown | 22 | 6 | 4 |
| Derrick White | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| Jrue Holiday | 14 | 6 | 5 |
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs Boston game at Kaseya Center.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NBA game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Heat vs Celtics: Preview
The NBA game between the Heat and Celtics at Kaseya Center is scheduled to tip off at 11:30am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
- Date: Friday 26 January 2024
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Miami vs Boston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, predictions for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.
