Heat vs Celtics Prediction and NBA Tips - 16 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 15, 2026, 8:55PM | Published: Jan 15, 2026, 2:09PM
The Miami Heat will take on the Boston Celtics in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Friday, commencing at 11:30am AEDT.
Led by the likes of Tyler Herro, Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo, the Heat are up against a Celtics side that includes Jaylen Brown, Derrick White and Payton Pritchard.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Heat vs Celtics game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Miami vs Boston NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Celtics a 60% chance of winning against the Heat at Kaseya Center.
Heat vs Celtics: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Kaseya Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Heat $2.20, Celtics $1.71
- Line: Heat +2.5 ($1.91), Celtics -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 234.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Heat at $2.20 and the Celtics at $1.71.
The Heat are 2.5-point underdogs against the Celtics, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Celtics (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 234.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Celtics (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 234.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Heat vs Celtics: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Boston at $1.71 with Bet365
- Line: Celtics -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 234.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Heat vs Celtics best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Heat vs Celtics: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Heat vs Celtics at Kaseya Center on Friday is the Celtics winning 116-113.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs Boston game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Heat vs Celtics prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Boston match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Heat vs Celtics: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Heat and Celtics at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 11:30am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
- Date: Friday 16 January 2026
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Boston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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