Hawthorn vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 2, 2026
Last updated: Mar 19, 2026, 8:25AM | Published: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02AM
Hawthorn will take on Sydney in AFL Round 2 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Sydney game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 75% chance of beating the Swans at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.33, Sydney $3.35
- Line: Hawthorn -19.5 ($1.91), Sydney +19.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 184.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.33 and Sydney at $3.35.
The Hawks are listed as 19.5-point favourites against the Swans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Swans (+19.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 184.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (-19.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 184.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn -19.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 184.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Hawthorn vs Sydney predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday is Hawthorn winning 103-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Sydney match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Hawthorn vs Sydney: Goal Kickers
Searching for Hawthorn vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Hawthorn's Jack Gunston is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Sydney.
Gunston has an 8.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Hawks star has a 93.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 8.1% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 6.5% probability
- Mabior Chol: 5.9% probability
- Nick Watson: 5.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 3.8% probability
Sydney
- Charlie Curnow: 6.0% probability
- Joel Amartey: 5.5% probability
- Tom Papley: 5.4% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 3.6% probability
- Logan McDonald: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 93.8% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 87.3% probability
- Mabior Chol: 85.0% probability
- Nick Watson: 82.5% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 71.6% probability
Sydney
- Charlie Curnow: 86.2% probability
- Tom Papley: 82.5% probability
- Joel Amartey: 82.2% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 69.2% probability
- Logan McDonald: 63.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Sydney game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Sydney: Essential Details
The AFL Round 2 clash between the Hawks and Swans at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Sydney
- Date: Thursday 19 March 2026
- Time: 7:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Sydney predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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