Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 18, 2026, 6:08AM | Published: Apr 12, 2026, 1:31PM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Port Adelaide in AFL Round 6 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Hawks an 88% chance of beating the Power at Marvel Stadium.
Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.11, Port Adelaide $6.50
- Line: Hawthorn -38.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide +38.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 182.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.11 and Port Adelaide at $6.50.
The Hawks are 38.5-point favourites against the Power, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Power (+38.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 182.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Power (+38.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 182.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.11 with Bet365
- Line: P Adelaide +38.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 182.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 110-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Looking for Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide.
Georgiades has a 10.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Power star has a 96.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Nick Watson: 8.8% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 7.1% probability
- Calsher Dear: 6.7% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 6.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 5.5% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 10.0% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 4.4% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 4.3% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.6% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 2.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Nick Watson: 94.6% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 87.7% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 87.7% probability
- Calsher Dear: 87.7% probability
- Dylan Moore: 81.7% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 96.5% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 72.6% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 72.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 60.4% probability
- Todd Marshall: 49.7% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Hawks and Power at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 18 April 2026
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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