Hawthorn vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 16, 2025, 6:15AM | Published: Aug 12, 2025, 5:21AM
Hawthorn will take on Melbourne in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 75% chance of winning against the Demons in Round 23 of the 2025 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.33, Melbourne $3.50
- Line: Hawthorn -19.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +19.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.33 and Melbourne at $3.50.
The Hawks are 19.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+19.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+19.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 164.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +19.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 89-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Melbourne match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Melbourne match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Hawks and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 16 August 2025
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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