Hawthorn vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 12, 2025, 12:45AM | Published: Aug 11, 2025, 5:25AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Melbourne in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 77% chance of beating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.28, Melbourne $3.75
- Line: Hawthorn -22.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +22.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.28 and Melbourne at $3.75.
The Hawks are 22.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+22.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+22.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 165.5-point over/under is expected to go over 67% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.28 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +22.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 165.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 97-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Melbourne match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Melbourne match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Hawks and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 16 August 2025
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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