Hawthorn vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 12, 2025, 5:20AM | Published: Aug 11, 2025, 5:25AM
Hawthorn will face Melbourne in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 77% chance of defeating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.28, Melbourne $3.75
- Line: Hawthorn -22.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +22.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.28 and Melbourne at $3.75.
The Hawks are 22.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+22.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+22.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 165.5-point over/under is expected to go over 67% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.28 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +22.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 165.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 97-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Melbourne match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Hawks and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 16 August 2025
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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