Hawthorn vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jun 28, 2026, 4:40PM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 8:30AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Melbourne in AFL Round 17 action at York Park on Saturday, starting at 1:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 70% chance of winning against the Demons at York Park.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at York Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.38, Melbourne $3.10
- Line: Hawthorn -17.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +17.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.38 and Melbourne at $3.10.
The Hawks are 17.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+17.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
These Hawthorn vs Melbourne best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Demons to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Melbourne at York Park this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 91-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Melbourne match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Melbourne game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Hawks and Demons at York Park is scheduled to start at 1:15pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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