Hawthorn vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2026
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026, 5:55PM | Published: Jun 21, 2026, 6:25AM
Hawthorn will take on GWS in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs GWS game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Hawthorn vs GWS AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 75% chance of beating the Giants in Round 16 of the 2026 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.30, GWS $3.60
- Line: Hawthorn -21.5 ($1.91), GWS +21.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.30 and GWS at $3.60.
The Hawks are 21.5-point favourites against the Giants, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Giants (+21.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Betting Tips
These Hawthorn vs GWS betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs GWS at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Hawthorn winning 93-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs GWS match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs GWS game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs GWS: Essential Details
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Hawks and Giants at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs GWS predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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