Hawthorn vs Gold Coast Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026, 2:23AM | Published: Apr 19, 2026, 10:26AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Gold Coast in AFL Round 7 action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Saturday, starting at 12:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Gold Coast game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Gold Coast AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 65% chance of winning against the Suns at University of Tasmania Stadium.
Hawthorn vs Gold Coast: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at University of Tasmania Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.65, Gold Coast $2.25
- Line: Hawthorn -7.5 ($1.91), Gold Coast +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 185.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.65 and Gold Coast at $2.25.
The Hawks are 7.5-point favourites against the Suns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Suns (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 185.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (-7.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 185.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Gold Coast: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.65 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 185.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Hawthorn vs Gold Coast predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawthorn vs Gold Coast: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Gold Coast at University of Tasmania Stadium on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 97-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Gold Coast match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Hawthorn vs Gold Coast: Goal Scorers
Looking for Hawthorn vs Gold Coast goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Hawthorn's Jack Gunston is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Gold Coast.
Gunston has a 13.4% chance of kicking the first goal at University of Tasmania Stadium, while the Hawks star has a 99.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 13.4% probability
- Nick Watson: 6.5% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 4.9% probability
- Calsher Dear: 4.6% probability
- Jack Dalton: 4.5% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 10.1% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 6.5% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 4.2% probability
- Ben Long: 4.1% probability
- Christian Petracca: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 99.0% probability
- Nick Watson: 88.2% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 76.4% probability
- Calsher Dear: 76.4% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 72.1% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 95.6% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 87.9% probability
- Ben Long: 73.3% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 68.9% probability
- Jed Walter: 63.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Gold Coast match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Gold Coast: Essential Details
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Hawks and Suns at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Gold Coast
- Date: Saturday 25 April 2026
- Time: 12:30pm AEST
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Gold Coast predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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