Hawthorn vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026
Last updated: Mar 30, 2026, 3:45AM | Published: Mar 29, 2026, 8:20AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Geelong in AFL Round 4 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Monday, April 6, beginning at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Geelong game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Cats vs Hawks 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 66% chance of winning against the Cats in Round 4 of the 2026 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Geelong: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for this AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.54, Geelong $2.50
- Line: Hawthorn -10.5 ($1.91), Geelong +10.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.54 and Geelong at $2.50.
The Hawks are 10.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cats (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Hawthorn vs Geelong: Betting Tips
Today's Hawthorn vs Geelong predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Hawthorn vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is Hawthorn winning 89-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Geelong match on Monday, April 6, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Geelong match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Hawks and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 3:15pm AEST on Monday, April 6.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Geelong
- Date: Monday 6 April 2026
- Time: 3:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Geelong predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
