Hawthorn vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2026
Last updated: Jul 22, 2026, 8:44PM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 11:30AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Essendon in AFL Round 20 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Essendon game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 96% chance of defeating the Bombers in Round 20 of the 2026 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.04, Essendon $11.00
- Line: Hawthorn -53.5 ($1.91), Essendon +53.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.04 and Essendon at $11.00.
The Hawks are 53.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+53.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (-53.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.04 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn -53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
These Hawthorn vs Essendon predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 115-56.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Essendon match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Hawks and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 25 July 2026
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Essendon predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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