Hawthorn vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2026

Hawthorn will take on Collingwood in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game, along with the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 70% chance of defeating the Magpies in Round 23 of the 2026 AFL season.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:

• Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.33, Collingwood $3.35
• Line: Hawthorn -18.5 ($1.91), Collingwood +18.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.33 and Collingwood at $3.35.

The Hawks are 18.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Magpies (+18.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Magpies (+18.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 175.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Collingwood at $3.35 with Bet365
• Line: Collingwood +18.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Hawthorn prevailing 95-79.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Collingwood match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Essential Details

The AFL Round 23 clash between the Hawks and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Saturday.

• Teams: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
• Date: Saturday 15 August 2026
• Time: 7:40pm AEST
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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