Hawthorn vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2026
Last updated: Aug 15, 2026, 9:40AM | Published: Aug 9, 2026, 10:25AM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Collingwood in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 71% chance of winning against the Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.30, Collingwood $3.60
- Line: Hawthorn -21.5 ($1.91), Collingwood +21.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.30 and Collingwood at $3.60.
The Hawks are listed as 21.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Magpies (+21.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (+21.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 175.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $3.60 with Bet365
- Line: Collingwood +21.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 95-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Collingwood match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Hawks and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
- Date: Saturday 15 August 2026
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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