Hawthorn vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Aug 5, 2025, 6:09AM | Published: Aug 3, 2025, 12:20PM
Hawthorn will take on Collingwood in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Hawthorn vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 56% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $2.25, Collingwood $1.65
- Line: Hawthorn +7.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $2.25 and Collingwood at $1.65.
The Hawks are listed as 7.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 161.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 161.5-point over/under is expected to go over 74% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $2.25 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 161.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday is Collingwood winning 89-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Hawks and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 7 August 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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