Hawthorn vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Aug 7, 2025, 9:34AM | Published: Aug 3, 2025, 12:20PM
Hawthorn will face Collingwood in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Hawthorn vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 59% chance of defeating the Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $2.30, Collingwood $1.65
- Line: Hawthorn +7.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $2.30 and Collingwood at $1.65.
The Hawks are 7.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.65 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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These Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday is Collingwood winning 82-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Collingwood match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Hawks and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 7 August 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Collingwood predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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