Hawthorn vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2025
Last updated: Jul 22, 2025, 6:30AM | Published: Jul 21, 2025, 1:10AM
Hawthorn will face Carlton in AFL Round 20 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Hawthorn vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Hawks an 80% chance of winning against the Blues in Round 20 of the 2025 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.20, Carlton $4.60
- Line: Hawthorn -28.5 ($1.91), Carlton +28.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 159.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.20 and Carlton at $4.60.
The Hawks are listed as 28.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+28.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 159.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+28.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 159.5-point over/under is expected to go over 78% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $4.60 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +28.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 159.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
These Hawthorn vs Carlton betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Hawthorn vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday is Hawthorn winning 99-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Carlton match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Carlton game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Hawks and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Carlton
- Date: Thursday 24 July 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Carlton predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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