Hawthorn vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 20, 2025, 5:00AM | Published: May 19, 2025, 12:50AM
Hawthorn will take on Brisbane in AFL Round 11 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 61% chance of defeating the Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.58, Brisbane $2.40
- Line: Hawthorn -9.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.58 and Brisbane at $2.40.
The Hawks are 9.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 172.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 172.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.58 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 172.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Hawthorn vs Brisbane betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 91-83.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Brisbane game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Hawks and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 24 May 2025
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Brisbane predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.