Hawthorn vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Preliminary Final 2026
Last updated: Sep 19, 2026, 7:15AM | Published: Sep 12, 2026, 2:30PM
Hawthorn will take on Brisbane in AFL Preliminary Final action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 5:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 55% chance of winning against the Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.97, Brisbane $1.85
- Line: Hawthorn +2.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 191.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.97 and Brisbane at $1.85.
The Hawks are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 191.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 191.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.97 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 191.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Our Hawthorn vs Brisbane predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 97-93.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Brisbane match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Preliminary Final clash between the Hawks and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 19 September 2026
- Time: 5:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Brisbane predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
