Hawthorn vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 14, 2025
Last updated: Jun 12, 2025, 1:57PM | Published: Jun 9, 2025, 9:55AM
Hawthorn will face Adelaide in AFL Round 14 action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Hawthorn vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 53% chance of defeating the Hawks at University of Tasmania Stadium.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at University of Tasmania Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.85, Adelaide $1.97
- Line: Hawthorn -1.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 153.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.85 and Adelaide at $1.97.
The Hawks are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 153.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Crows (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 153.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.97 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 153.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Hawthorn vs Adelaide betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Adelaide at University of Tasmania Stadium this Friday is Adelaide winning 78-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Adelaide match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Hawthorn vs Adelaide goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Hawthorn's Jack Gunston is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Adelaide.
Gunston has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at University of Tasmania Stadium, while the Hawks star has an 86.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 7.4% probability
- Mabior Chol: 5.3% probability
- Nick Watson: 4.7% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.1% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 5.5% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 5.4% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 5.0% probability
- Izak Rankine: 4.9% probability
- Josh Rachele: 4.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 86.0% probability
- Mabior Chol: 73.4% probability
- Nick Watson: 69.8% probability
- Dylan Moore: 65.9% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 65.1% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 75.7% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 72.9% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 71.8% probability
- Izak Rankine: 71.0% probability
- Josh Rachele: 70.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 14 clash between the Hawks and Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Adelaide
- Date: Friday 13 June 2025
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Adelaide predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
