Hawthorn vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 17, 2026, 8:20PM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:30PM
Hawthorn will face Adelaide in AFL Round 11 action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Hawthorn vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 72% chance of winning against the Crows in Round 11 of the 2026 AFL season.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at University of Tasmania Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.35, Adelaide $3.25
- Line: Hawthorn -18.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +18.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.35 and Adelaide at $3.25.
The Hawks are listed as 18.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+18.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Best Bets
Today's Hawthorn vs Adelaide predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Adelaide at University of Tasmania Stadium this Thursday is Hawthorn winning 92-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Hawthorn vs Adelaide match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Adelaide match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Hawks and Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Adelaide
- Date: Thursday 21 May 2026
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Adelaide predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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