Hawthorn vs Adelaide Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 6, 2023
Apr 17, 2023, 2:05AM
Hawthorn faces the favoured Adelaide in AFL Round 6 action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Hawthorn vs Adelaide, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Hawthorn vs Adelaide
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Hawthorn-Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 71% chance of beating the Hawks in Round 6 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs Adelaide Simulated 10K Times
Hawthorn vs Adelaide Betting Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at University of Tasmania Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $3.85, Adelaide $1.33
- Line: Hawthorn +24.5 ($1.87), Adelaide -24.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn to win at $3.85 and Adelaide to win at $1.33.
The Hawks are listed as 24.5-point underdogs against the Crows, with odds of $1.87 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Crows (-24.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 173.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+24.5) have a 65% chance of covering the line, while the 173.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Hawthorn vs Adelaide Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $3.85 with Betfair (3.4% edge)
- Line: Hawthorn +24.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (65% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (56% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
These Hawthorn vs Adelaide betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our recommended option because of the 3.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Adelaide at University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday has Adelaide winning 93-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs Adelaide on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide Goal Kickers
Searching for Hawthorn vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Adelaide.
Walker has a 9.0% chance of kicking the first goal at University of Tasmania Stadium, while the Crows star has a 92.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Chad Wingard: 5.5% probability
- Luke Breust: 5.4% probability
- Fergus Greene: 5.1% probability
- Tyler Brockman: 3.7% probability
- Dylan Moore: 3.2% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 9.0% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 6.4% probability
- Izak Rankine: 6.3% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 81.1% probability
- Fergus Greene: 79.0% probability
- Chad Wingard: 78.7% probability
- Tyler Brockman: 66.7% probability
- Dylan Moore: 65.9% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 92.7% probability
- Izak Rankine: 86.1% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 85.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 84.0% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 68.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Hawthorn vs Adelaide match at University of Tasmania Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Hawthorn vs Adelaide AFL 2023
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Hawks and Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Game: Hawthorn vs Adelaide
- Date: Sunday 23 April 2023
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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