Hawks vs Warriors Prediction and NBA Tips - 22 March 2026
Last updated: Mar 21, 2026, 6:20PM | Published: Mar 21, 2026, 2:06PM
The Atlanta Hawks will face the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Sunday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.
With the likes of Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, the Hawks are aiming to beat a Warriors team that includes Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton and Gui Santos.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawks vs Warriors game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Atlanta vs Golden State NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks an 80% chance of winning against the Warriors at State Farm Arena.
Hawks vs Warriors: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at State Farm Arena are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawks $1.20, Warriors $4.75
- Line: Hawks -10.5 ($1.91), Warriors +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 229 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Hawks at $1.20 and the Warriors at $4.75.
The Hawks are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Warriors (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 229 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 229-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Hawks vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Golden State at $4.75 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 229 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Hawks vs Warriors best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Hawks vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawks vs Warriors at State Farm Arena this Sunday is the Hawks winning 119-109.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs Golden State game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Hawks vs Warriors prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Golden State match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawks vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Hawks and Warriors at State Farm Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors
- Date: Sunday 22 March 2026
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Golden State predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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