Hawks vs Warriors Prediction and NBA Tips - 22 March 2026
Last updated: Mar 22, 2026, 12:10AM | Published: Mar 21, 2026, 2:06PM
The Atlanta Hawks will sqaure off with the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Sunday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.
Led by star players Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum and Jonathan Kuminga, the Hawks are up against a Warriors line-up that includes Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton and Gui Santos.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Hawks vs Warriors game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Atlanta vs Golden State NBA game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 72% chance of winning against the Warriors at State Farm Arena.
Hawks vs Warriors: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at State Farm Arena are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawks $1.32, Warriors $3.50
- Line: Hawks -7.5 ($1.91), Warriors +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 228 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Hawks at $1.32 and the Warriors at $3.50.
The Hawks are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Warriors (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 228 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 228-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Hawks vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Golden State at $3.50 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 228 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Hawks vs Warriors betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Hawks vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawks vs Warriors at State Farm Arena on Sunday is the Hawks winning 117-110.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs Golden State game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Hawks vs Warriors prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Golden State match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawks vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Hawks and Warriors at State Farm Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors
- Date: Sunday 22 March 2026
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Golden State predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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