Hawks vs Heat Prediction and NBA Tips - 21 February 2026
Last updated: Feb 20, 2026, 9:30PM | Published: Feb 20, 2026, 2:05PM
The Atlanta Hawks will sqaure off with the Miami Heat in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Saturday, beginning at 11:30am AEDT.
With star players Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, the Hawks are looking to overcome a Heat team that includes Norman Powell, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Hawks vs Heat game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Atlanta vs Miami NBA game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Heat a 60% chance of defeating the Hawks at State Farm Arena.
Hawks vs Heat: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's NBA game at State Farm Arena are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawks $2.25, Heat $1.67
- Line: Hawks +3 ($1.91), Heat -3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 244 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Hawks at $2.25 and the Heat at $1.67.
The Hawks are 3-point underdogs against the Heat, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Heat (-3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 244 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+3) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 244-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Hawks vs Heat: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Hawks +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 244 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Hawks vs Heat betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Hawks vs Heat: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawks vs Heat at State Farm Arena on Saturday is the Heat winning 122-119.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs Miami game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Hawks vs Heat prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Miami game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawks vs Heat: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Hawks and Heat at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 11:30am AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
- Date: Saturday 21 February 2026
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Miami predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, predictions for every NBA game, and futures odds for the NBA.
