GWS vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Opening Round, 2026
Last updated: Mar 3, 2026, 12:10AM | Published: Mar 2, 2026, 5:03PM
GWS will take on Hawthorn in AFL Opening Round action at Giants Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the GWS vs Hawthorn game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's GWS vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 55% chance of winning against the Giants in the Opening Round of 2026 AFL season.
GWS vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Giants Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: GWS $2.40, Hawthorn $1.58
- Line: GWS +9.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has GWS at $2.40 and Hawthorn at $1.58.
The Giants are listed as 9.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Giants (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to go over 58% of the time.
GWS vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: GWS at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: GWS +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's GWS vs Hawthorn predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Giants to win is our preferred option due to the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
GWS vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for GWS vs Hawthorn at Giants Stadium on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 89-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the GWS vs Hawthorn match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the GWS vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
GWS vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Opening Round clash between the Giants and Hawks at Giants Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our GWS vs Hawthorn predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
