GWS vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 5, 2026, 2:33PM | Published: May 3, 2026, 1:08PM
GWS will face Essendon in AFL Round 9 action at Giants Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the GWS vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's GWS vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Giants an 89% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 9 of the 2026 AFL season.
GWS vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Giants Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: GWS $1.07, Essendon $8.50
- Line: GWS -45.5 ($1.91), Essendon +45.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 193.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has GWS at $1.07 and Essendon at $8.50.
The Giants are listed as 45.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+45.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 193.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bombers (+45.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 193.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
GWS vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $8.50 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 193.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our GWS vs Essendon predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Giants have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
GWS vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for GWS vs Essendon at Giants Stadium on Saturday is GWS winning 116-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the GWS vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the GWS vs Essendon game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
GWS vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Giants and Bombers at Giants Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our GWS vs Essendon predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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