GWS vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 9, 2026, 6:10AM | Published: May 3, 2026, 1:08PM
GWS will sqaure off with Essendon in AFL Round 9 action at Giants Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the GWS vs Essendon game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's GWS vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Giants an 89% chance of defeating the Bombers at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Essendon: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Giants Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: GWS $1.08, Essendon $8.00
- Line: GWS -43.5 ($1.91), Essendon +43.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 190.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has GWS at $1.08 and Essendon at $8.00.
The Giants are listed as 43.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+43.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 190.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+43.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 190.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
GWS vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $8.00 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 190.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's GWS vs Essendon best bets are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Giants have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
GWS vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for GWS vs Essendon at Giants Stadium on Saturday is GWS winning 114-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the GWS vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.GWS vs Essendon: Goal Scorers
Searching for GWS vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, GWS' Aaron Cadman is the most likely player to kick the first goal in GWS vs Essendon.
Cadman has a 9.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Giants Stadium, while the Giants star has a 96.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
GWS
- Aaron Cadman: 9.4% probability
- Jake Stringer: 9.3% probability
- Toby Greene: 7.0% probability
- Phoenix Gothard: 6.3% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 5.5% probability
Essendon
- Nate Caddy: 8.3% probability
- Peter Wright: 5.0% probability
- Archer May: 3.2% probability
- Kyle Langford: 3.1% probability
- Xavier Duursma: 2.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
GWS
- Aaron Cadman: 96.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 95.3% probability
- Toby Greene: 88.8% probability
- Phoenix Gothard: 88.8% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 83.0% probability
Essendon
- Nate Caddy: 94.9% probability
- Peter Wright: 81.2% probability
- Archer May: 67.8% probability
- Kyle Langford: 63.2% probability
- Xavier Duursma: 58.1% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the GWS vs Essendon game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
GWS vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Giants and Bombers at Giants Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our GWS vs Essendon predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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