GWS vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 25, 2026, 5:10AM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:30PM
GWS will sqaure off with Brisbane in AFL Round 11 action at Giants Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 12:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the GWS vs Brisbane game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's GWS vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 61% chance of beating the Giants in Round 11 of the 2026 AFL season.
GWS vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Giants Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: GWS $2.30, Brisbane $1.62
- Line: GWS +8.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 189.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has GWS at $2.30 and Brisbane at $1.62.
The Giants are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 189.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Giants (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 189.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
GWS vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.62 with Bet365
- Line: GWS +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 189.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our GWS vs Brisbane betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
GWS vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for GWS vs Brisbane at Giants Stadium this Sunday is Brisbane winning 98-90.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the GWS vs Brisbane match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.GWS vs Brisbane: Goal Kickers
Looking for GWS vs Brisbane goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Logan Morris is the most likely player to kick the first goal in GWS vs Brisbane.
Morris has an 8.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Giants Stadium, while the Lions star has a 93.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
GWS
- Jake Stringer: 8.2% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 7.4% probability
- Phoenix Gothard: 5.0% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 4.4% probability
- Toby Greene: 4.4% probability
Brisbane
- Logan Morris: 8.6% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 6.4% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 6.4% probability
- Zac Bailey: 6.4% probability
- Cam Rayner: 5.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
GWS
- Jake Stringer: 92.9% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 91.5% probability
- Toby Greene: 79.8% probability
- Phoenix Gothard: 79.8% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 76.1% probability
Brisbane
- Logan Morris: 93.7% probability
- Zac Bailey: 89.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 89.0% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 86.8% probability
- Cam Rayner: 81.1% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the GWS vs Brisbane game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
GWS vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Giants and Lions at Giants Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:30pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our GWS vs Brisbane predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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