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Guardians vs Royals Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 September 2025

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at Progressive Field on Thursday, commencing at 8:40am AEST.

Logan Allen (7-11, 4.46 ERA) will start on the mound for the Guardians, while the Royals are going with Jonathan Bowlan (1-2, 3.57 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Guardians vs Royals game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Cleveland vs Kansas City MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Guardians a 51% chance of beating the Royals at Progressive Field.

Guardians vs Royals: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Guardians $1.91, Royals $1.91
  • Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.85), Royals +1.5 ($1.44)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.91 and the Royals at $1.91.

The Guardians are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Royals, with odds of $2.85 available at TAB.

For the underdog Royals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.44.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Royals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 67% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Guardians vs Royals: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Cleveland at $1.91 with TAB
  • Line: Royals +1.5 at $1.44 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Guardians vs Royals betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

Guardians vs Royals: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cleveland vs Kansas City game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cleveland vs Kansas City match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Guardians vs Royals: Essential Details

The game between the Guardians and Royals at Progressive Field is scheduled to start at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Cleveland vs Kansas City predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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