Guardians vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 June 2025
Last updated: Jun 11, 2025, 5:10PM | Published: Jun 10, 2025, 6:29PM
The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Progressive Field on Thursday, starting at 3:10am AEST.
The Guardians will send Logan Allen (3-4, 4.42 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Nick Lodolo (4-4, 3.21 ERA) for the Reds.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Guardians vs Reds game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Cleveland vs Cincinnati MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Reds a 51% chance of defeating the Guardians at Progressive Field.
Guardians vs Reds: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Guardians $2.10, Reds $1.77
- Line: Guardians +1.5 ($1.62), Reds -1.5 ($2.35)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $2.10 and the Reds at $1.77.
The Guardians are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Reds, with odds of $1.62 available at TAB.
For the favourite Reds (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.35.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Guardians (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Guardians vs Reds: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cleveland at $2.10 with TAB
- Line: Guardians +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Guardians vs Reds predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Reds have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Guardians to win is our preferred option due to the 3.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Guardians vs Reds: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cleveland vs Cincinnati game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cleveland vs Cincinnati match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Guardians vs Reds: Essential Details
The game between the Guardians and Reds at Progressive Field is scheduled to commence at 3:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Thursday 12 June 2025
- Time: 3:10am AEST
- Venue: Progressive Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cleveland vs Cincinnati predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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