Guardians vs Rangers Prediction and MLB Tips - 29 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 7:10PM | Published: Sep 28, 2025, 8:29AM
The Cleveland Guardians will sqaure off with the Texas Rangers in Game 3 of the American League Division Series at Progressive Field on Monday, commencing at 5:10am AEST.
The Guardians will send Logan Allen (8-11, 4.14 ERA) to the mound, while the Rangers will counter with Patrick Corbin (7-11, 4.34 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Guardians vs Rangers game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Cleveland vs Texas MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Guardians a 54% chance of defeating the Rangers at Progressive Field.
Guardians vs Rangers: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Progressive Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Guardians $1.71, Rangers $2.20
- Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.50), Rangers +1.5 ($1.56)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.71 and the Rangers at $2.20.
The Guardians are 1.5-run favourites against the Rangers, with odds of $2.50 available at TAB.
For the underdog Rangers (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.56.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Rangers (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 59% of the time.
Guardians vs Rangers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Texas at $2.20 with TAB
- Line: Rangers +1.5 at $1.56 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Guardians vs Rangers best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Guardians have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rangers to win is our recommended option due to the 2.1% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Guardians vs Rangers: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cleveland vs Texas game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Cleveland vs Texas game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Guardians vs Rangers: Essential Details
The game between the Guardians and Rangers at Progressive Field is scheduled to commence at 5:10am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Time: 5:10am AEST
- Venue: Progressive Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cleveland vs Texas predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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