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Guardians vs Rangers Prediction and MLB Tips - 28 September 2025

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Texas Rangers in Game 194 of the American League Division Series at Progressive Field on Sunday, starting at 9:15am AEST.

Joey Cantillo (5-3, 3.21 ERA) will be on the bump for the Guardians, up against Jacob Latz (2-0, 2.80 ERA) for the Rangers.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Guardians vs Rangers game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Cleveland vs Texas MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Guardians a 56% chance of beating the Rangers at Progressive Field.

Guardians vs Rangers: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Guardians $1.67, Rangers $2.25
  • Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.54), Rangers +1.5 ($1.54)
  • Total (Over/Under 7 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.67 and the Rangers at $2.25.

The Guardians are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Rangers, with odds of $2.54 available at TAB.

For the underdog Rangers (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.54.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Rangers (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 7-run over/under is expected to go over 59% of the time.

Guardians vs Rangers: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Texas at $2.25 with TAB
  • Line: Rangers +1.5 at $1.54 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 7 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Guardians vs Rangers best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Guardians have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rangers to win is our recommended option due to the 1.9% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Guardians vs Rangers: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cleveland vs Texas game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Cleveland vs Texas game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Guardians vs Rangers: Essential Details

The match-up between the Guardians and Rangers at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 9:15am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Cleveland vs Texas predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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