Guardians vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 24 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 23, 2025, 10:40PM | Published: Jul 22, 2025, 9:34PM
The Cleveland Guardians will face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Progressive Field on Thursday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.
Slade Cecconi (5-4, 3.84 ERA) will get the ball for the Guardians, while the Orioles are going with Zach Eflin (6-5, 5.95 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Guardians vs Orioles game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Cleveland vs Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Guardians a 53% chance of winning against the Orioles at Progressive Field.
Guardians vs Orioles: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Guardians $1.77, Orioles $2.10
- Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.60), Orioles +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.77 and the Orioles at $2.10.
The Guardians are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Guardians vs Orioles: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Baltimore at $2.10 with TAB
- Line: Orioles +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Guardians vs Orioles best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Guardians have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Orioles to win is our preferred option because of the 1.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.
Guardians vs Orioles: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cleveland vs Baltimore game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Cleveland vs Baltimore game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Guardians vs Orioles: Essential Details
The match-up between the Guardians and Orioles at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Thursday 24 July 2025
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: Progressive Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cleveland vs Baltimore predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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