Guardians vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 7 August 2026
Last updated: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09PM | Published: Aug 5, 2026, 6:34PM
The Cleveland Guardians will sqaure off with the New York Mets in MLB action at Progressive Field on Friday, commencing at 3:10am AEST.
The Guardians will have Foster Griffin (12-3, 3.06 ERA) start, while the Mets are going with Nolan McLean (7-7, 3.29 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Guardians vs Mets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Cleveland vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Guardians a 53% chance of defeating the Mets at Progressive Field.
Guardians vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Progressive Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Guardians $1.80, Mets $2.15
- Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.75), Mets +1.5 ($1.48)
- Total (Over/Under 7 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.80 and the Mets at $2.15.
The Guardians are 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.75 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.48.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 7-run over/under is expected to go over 60% of the time.
Guardians vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.15 with TAB
- Line: Guardians -1.5 at $2.75 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Guardians vs Mets predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
And while the Guardians have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our recommended option because of the 1.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Even though the Mets are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Guardians -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Guardians vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cleveland vs NY Mets game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Cleveland vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Guardians vs Mets: Essential Details
The match-up between the Guardians and Mets at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 3:10am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
- Date: Friday 7 August 2026
- Time: 3:10am AEST
- Venue: Progressive Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cleveland vs NY Mets predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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