Guardians vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 August 2026
Last updated: Aug 4, 2026, 10:40PM | Published: Aug 3, 2026, 6:36PM
The Cleveland Guardians will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Progressive Field on Wednesday, commencing at 8:40am AEST.
The Guardians will have Joey Cantillo (8-6, 3.88 ERA) start, while the Mets will counter with Sean Manaea (2-5, 4.42 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Guardians vs Mets game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's Cleveland vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Guardians a 51% chance of winning against the Mets at Progressive Field.
Guardians vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Guardians $1.74, Mets $2.15
- Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.54), Mets +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.74 and the Mets at $2.15.
The Guardians are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.54 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.54.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Guardians vs Mets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.15 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.54 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Guardians vs Mets predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Guardians have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option due to the 3.9% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Guardians vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cleveland vs NY Mets game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Cleveland vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Guardians vs Mets: Essential Details
The match-up between the Guardians and Mets at Progressive Field is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
- Date: Wednesday 5 August 2026
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: Progressive Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cleveland vs NY Mets predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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