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Guardians vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 14 August 2025

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Progressive Field on Thursday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.

Gavin Williams (7-4, 3.17 ERA) will be on the bump for the Guardians, up against Eury Pérez (4-3, 3.25 ERA) for the Marlins.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Guardians vs Marlins game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Cleveland vs Miami MLB game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Guardians a 56% chance of beating the Marlins at Progressive Field.

Guardians vs Marlins: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Progressive Field are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Guardians $1.74, Marlins $2.15
  • Line: Guardians -1.5 ($2.60), Marlins +1.5 ($1.53)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Guardians at $1.74 and the Marlins at $2.15.

The Guardians are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.

For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Marlins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Guardians vs Marlins: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cleveland at $1.74 with TAB
  • Line: Guardians -1.5 at $2.60 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Guardians vs Marlins betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Even though the Marlins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Guardians -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.

Guardians vs Marlins: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Cleveland vs Miami game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Cleveland vs Miami game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Guardians vs Marlins: Essential Details

The game between the Guardians and Marlins at Progressive Field is scheduled to start at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Cleveland vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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