Golden Knights vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 19 February 2023

Feb 17, 2023, 7:58PM

The Vegas Golden Knights play the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at T-Mobile Arena on Sunday, beginning at 2:30pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Golden Knights vs Lightning, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who will win? Golden Knights vs Lightning

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Lightning-Golden Knights NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 53% chance of beating the Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.

More: Golden Knights vs Lightning Simulated 10K Times

Vegas vs Tampa Bay Current Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL clash at T-Mobile Arena are shown below:

Head to Head: Golden Knights $2.10, Lightning $1.77
Line: Golden Knights +1.5 ($1.41), Lightning -1.5 ($3.05)
Total (Over/Under 6 Goals): Over $1.87, Under $1.95

Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Golden Knights to win at $2.10 and the Lightning to win at $1.77.

The Golden Knights are 1.5-goal underdogs against the Lightning, with odds of $1.41 currrently available at PointsBet.

For the favoured Lightning (-1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $3.05.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $1.95.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Golden Knights (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the line, while the 6-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Golden Knights vs Lightning Betting Tips

Head to Head: Golden Knights at $2.10 with PointsBet
Line: Lightning -1.5 at 3.05 with bet365
Total Goals: Under 6 at $1.95 with PointsBet (51% probability)

Our Golden Knights vs Lightning expert tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

And while the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Golden Knights to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the best odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Even though the Golden Knights are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Golden Knights vs Lightning NHL Best Bets

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Vegas vs Tampa Bay on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, prop betting tips, and live updates.

Golden Knights vs Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Golden Knights vs Lightning? The data is in.

The most likely first goalscorer and most likely anytime goalscorer for both the Golden Knights and Lightning are listed below.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos is the most likely player to score the first goal in Golden Knights vs Lightning.

Stamkos has an 8.3% chance of scoring the first goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the Lightning star has a 38.3% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Golden Knights First Goal Scorer Tips

Jack Eichel: 5.9% probability
Paul Cotter: 5.7% probability
Jonathan Marchessault: 4.2% probability
Chandler Stephenson: 3.2% probability
Nicolas Roy: 3.1% probability

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Steven Stamkos: 8.3% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 7.6% probability
Brayden Point: 7.3% probability
Brandon Hagel: 4.1% probability
Alex Killorn: 3.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Golden Knights Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Paul Cotter: 31.1% probability
Jack Eichel: 30.1% probability
Jonathan Marchessault: 23.3% probability
Chandler Stephenson: 17.9% probability
Nicolas Roy: 17.4% probability

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Steven Stamkos: 38.3% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 35.3% probability
Brayden Point: 34.5% probability
Brandon Hagel: 24.0% probability
Alex Killorn: 20.7% probability

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Vegas vs Tampa Bay match-up at T-Mobile Arena.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Value Summary to get betting tips for every NHL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Golden Knights vs Lightning NHL 2023

The match-up between the Golden Knights and Lightning at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 2:30pm AEDT on Sunday.

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Sunday 19 February 2023
Time: 2:30pm AEDT
Venue: T-Mobile Arena

All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.