Gold Coast vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2025

Gold Coast will face Melbourne in AFL Round 16 action at People First Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 1:20pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Gold Coast vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Gold Coast vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Suns a 77% chance of defeating the Demons at People First Stadium.

Gold Coast vs Melbourne: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at People First Stadium are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.27, Melbourne $4.00
  • Line: Gold Coast -22.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +22.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Gold Coast at $1.27 and Melbourne at $4.00.

The Suns are 22.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Demons (+22.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 172.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+22.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 172.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Gold Coast vs Melbourne: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Melbourne at $4.00 with Bet365
  • Line: Melbourne +22.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 172.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Gold Coast vs Melbourne predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Suns have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Demons to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Gold Coast vs Melbourne: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Melbourne at People First Stadium on Saturday is Gold Coast winning 95-75.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Gold Coast vs Melbourne match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Gold Coast vs Melbourne game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Gold Coast vs Melbourne: Essential Details

The AFL Round 16 clash between the Suns and Demons at People First Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:20pm AEST on Saturday.

  • Teams: Gold Coast vs Melbourne
  • Date: Saturday 28 June 2025
  • Time: 1:20pm AEST
  • Venue: People First Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Gold Coast vs Melbourne predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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