Gold Coast vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 15, 2025, 9:22AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
Gold Coast will face Hawthorn in AFL Round 10 action at TIO Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Suns a 64% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at TIO Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.60, Hawthorn $2.40
- Line: Gold Coast -8.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 182.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Gold Coast at $1.60 and Hawthorn at $2.40.
The Suns are 8.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 182.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 182.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $1.60 with Bet365
- Line: Gold Coast -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 182.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Gold Coast vs Hawthorn best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn at TIO Stadium on Thursday is Gold Coast winning 95-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Searching for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Hawthorn.
King has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at TIO Stadium, while the Suns star has a 92.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 8.0% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 5.3% probability
- Ben Long: 5.1% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.2% probability
- Jed Walter: 3.9% probability
Hawthorn
- Nick Watson: 4.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.6% probability
- Calsher Dear: 4.6% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 92.2% probability
- Ben Long: 80.2% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 78.6% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 72.7% probability
- Jed Walter: 71.1% probability
Hawthorn
- Mabior Chol: 78.9% probability
- Nick Watson: 78.5% probability
- Dylan Moore: 76.2% probability
- Calsher Dear: 74.8% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 73.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Suns and Hawks at TIO Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
- Date: Thursday 15 May 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: TIO Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Gold Coast vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
