Gold Coast vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2024

Gold Coast will sqaure off with Geelong in AFL Round 10 action at TIO Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Gold Coast vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Gold Coast vs Geelong

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Gold Coast-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 58% chance of beating the Suns in Round 10 of the 2024 AFL season.

More: Gold Coast vs Geelong Match Centre

Gold Coast vs Geelong: Odds

The latest betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at TIO Stadium are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Gold Coast $2.16, Geelong $1.85
  • Line: Gold Coast +2.5 ($2.02), Geelong -2.5 ($1.96)
  • Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $2.02

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Gold Coast at $2.16 and Geelong at $1.85.

The Suns are 2.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $2.02 currently available at Betfair.

For the favourite Cats (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.96.

The Over/Under for Gold Coast vs Geelong is set at 161.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $2.02.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (-2.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 161.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game

Gold Coast vs Geelong: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Geelong at $1.85 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
  • Line: Geelong -2.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (55% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 161.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (52% probability)

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

Our Gold Coast vs Geelong betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.

Gold Coast vs Geelong: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Geelong at TIO Stadium this Thursday has Geelong winning 83-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Gold Coast vs Geelong on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Gold Coast vs Geelong: Goal Scorers

Are you looking for Gold Coast vs Geelong goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Geelong.

King has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at TIO Stadium, while the Suns star has an 87.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Gold Coast

  • Ben King: 7.4% probability
  • Ben Ainsworth: 4.6% probability
  • Jack Lukosius: 4.3% probability
  • Joel Jeffrey: 3.8% probability
  • Alex Sexton: 3.4% probability


  • Tyson Stengle: 6.3% probability
  • Oliver Henry: 6.1% probability
  • Gary Rohan: 5.0% probability
  • Brad Close: 4.1% probability
  • Shannon Neale: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Gold Coast

  • Ben King: 87.8% probability
  • Ben Ainsworth: 69.4% probability
  • Jack Lukosius: 68.9% probability
  • Joel Jeffrey: 62.7% probability
  • Sam Day: 61.1% probability


  • Tyson Stengle: 84.2% probability
  • Oliver Henry: 81.5% probability
  • Gary Rohan: 75.2% probability
  • Brad Close: 67.2% probability
  • Shannon Neale: 62.4% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Gold Coast vs Geelong game at TIO Stadium.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Gold Coast vs Geelong: Preview

The AFL Round 10 clash between the Suns and Cats at TIO Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.

  • Teams: Gold Coast vs Geelong
  • Date: Thursday 16 May 2024
  • Time: 7:30pm AEST
  • Venue: TIO Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Gold Coast vs Geelong predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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