Gold Coast vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jul 4, 2026, 6:10AM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 10:25AM
Gold Coast will take on Collingwood in AFL Round 17 action at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Gold Coast vs Collingwood game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Gold Coast vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Suns a 58% chance of defeating the Magpies in Round 17 of the 2026 AFL season.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Metricon Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.68, Collingwood $2.20
- Line: Gold Coast -6.5 ($1.91), Collingwood +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Gold Coast at $1.68 and Collingwood at $2.20.
The Suns are 6.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Magpies (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 172.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Gold Coast and Collingwood have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 172.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $1.68 with Bet365
- Line: Collingwood +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 172.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Gold Coast vs Collingwood best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Collingwood at Metricon Stadium this Saturday is Gold Coast winning 88-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Gold Coast vs Collingwood match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Goal Scorers
Searching for Gold Coast vs Collingwood goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Collingwood.
King has a 10.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Metricon Stadium, while the Suns star has a 95.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 10.4% probability
- Jed Walter: 6.6% probability
- Ben Long: 6.0% probability
- Christian Petracca: 4.9% probability
- Ethan Read: 3.6% probability
Collingwood
- Tim Membrey: 6.7% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 5.7% probability
- Daniel McStay: 5.6% probability
- Nick Daicos: 5.2% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 4.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 95.6% probability
- Jed Walter: 85.8% probability
- Ben Long: 83.3% probability
- Christian Petracca: 73.3% probability
- Ethan Read: 63.8% probability
Collingwood
- Tim Membrey: 85.6% probability
- Daniel McStay: 80.7% probability
- Nick Daicos: 77.7% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 77.7% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 74.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Gold Coast vs Collingwood match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Suns and Magpies at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Collingwood
- Date: Saturday 4 July 2026
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Gold Coast vs Collingwood predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
