Geelong vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2025

Geelong will take on the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 11 action at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Western Bulldogs game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Geelong vs Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 56% chance of defeating the Bulldogs in Round 11 of the 2025 AFL season.

Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Geelong $1.83, Bulldogs $2.02
  • Line: Geelong -2.5 ($1.91), Bulldogs +2.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 174.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.83 and the Bulldogs at $2.02.

The Cats are 2.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Bulldogs (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 174.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 174.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Geelong at $1.83 with Bet365
  • Line: Geelong -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 174.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Geelong vs Western Bulldogs betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Western Bulldogs at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday is Geelong prevailing 88-84.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Western Bulldogs match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Bulldogs game.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Essential Details

The AFL Round 11 clash between the Cats and Bulldogs at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Geelong vs Bulldogs predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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